Personal Experimental Severe Weather Outlook for May 03, 2018 by: Joshua Schank

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I will try to update this page when severe weather threatens Missouri. I will especially focus on areas like Kansas City, MO and northward along with the area around Springfield, MO which includes Branson, MO. The style of my discussions/forecasts are based on the SPC's discussions and any updates are listed from new to old, so keep that in mind when reading my discussion down below.

Disclaimer: All discussions, forecasts, and opinions on this website are mine alone, unless stated otherwise, and should not be use in severe weather decisions. Consult with the National Weather Service and Storm Prediction Center for up-to-date severe weather information: NWS Website and SPC Website


If you have any questions or comments you can send emails to the website's email account: joshua.l.schank@schankweatherstationmo.oucreate.com

Severe Weather Discussion for Next Week *Check for Updates*

                
    Severe Weather Forecast
    Issued 0115 PM CDT Thursday May 03, 2018
    
    Valid Thursday May 03, 2018 - Friday May 04, 2018
    
    ...SUMMARY...
    A low pressure system is station around southwestern NE/northeastern KS with
    a dryline across east-central KS down into OK, and a warm front across
    northeastern KS and northern MO/ southern IA.
    
    ...Discussion...
   The Thermodynamics profiles today are not very impressive due to the affects
   the past few days of storms had on the enviroment. This could limit storm
   development and how long storms will stay at peak intensity and stay severe.
   That said, forecast soundings still show favorable wind shear enviroments in
   NE KS, SE NE, SW IA, and NW MO for rotation that can create storms with the
   ability to produce large hail and maybe a tornado. However, storms will not
   be widespread and will probably be isolated in nature as the storm's updrafts
   struggle to form and grow in intensity.
   
    ...Schank 05/03/2018...

Here are the Convective Outlooks for Wednesday from the SPC